“The 12th Five-Year Plan for the power industry is expected to be launched at the end of the year.†On August 18, Zhang Weidong, deputy director of the Industry Development Planning Office of the China Electricity Council, expressed at the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†development plan for the organic silicon industry.
"As far as I know, the draft of the National Energy Administration's power development plan should have been completed, and the draft of the hydropower development plan has been drafted. It is expected that the National Energy Administration will launch the '12th Five Year Plan' for the power industry by the end of the year. Zhang Weidong further disclosed to the reporter of China Energy News.
It is understood that due to the rapid economic development of our country, the contradiction between the eased electricity and economic development has been particularly prominent this year. After the “electricity shortage†swept across many provinces at the beginning of the year, the province entered the summer peak season. There were still power restrictions in Hunan, Henan, Jiangxi, Sichuan and other regions. In Guangxi, the most serious power shortage situation in the country currently occurs, and the power gap has reached From 3.5 million to 4 million kilowatts, the electricity shortage rate is about 30%, and nearly 1,000 companies have stopped production. According to estimates by China Southern Power Grid, this situation of power shortage may continue until the end of the year.
“The prominent contradiction between coal and electricity, insufficient hydropower output, and lagging behind in cross-regional power grid construction are still the main causes of Guangxi's current power shortage.†Chen Weidong explained that “in 2011, the country’s total social power consumption will reach 4.7 trillion kWh, an increase of 12% year-on-year. At around %, due to the impact of previous investment structure adjustments, the country's annual new infrastructure construction capacity was approximately 85 million kilowatts, and the scale of thermal power production was smaller than expected. In 2011, the national electricity supply and demand situation will be the most intense year since 2007.
In looking at the "12th Five-Year Plan" development of electricity, Chen Weidong stated that the principles of active development of hydropower, priority in the development of coal-fired electricity, safe and efficient development of nuclear power, and active promotion of wind power peak new energy generation will not change, and on this basis, the state will also vigorously Promote UHV and smart grid construction.
"Because China's coal-based energy utilization pattern will persist for a long time, we must speed up the construction of large-scale coal-electricity integration bases in Shanxi, North Shaanxi, Ningdong, Inner Mongolia, Northeastern, Xinjiang, Huainan, and Guizhou, and we must speed up. Clean coal technology development, speed up the transformation of energy-saving emission reduction of existing units." When talking about the development of coal power Chen Weidong said, "in 2015 China's coal power installed capacity can reach 933 million kilowatts, in 2020 is expected to reach 1.16 billion kilowatts."
When talking about the electricity price trend, Chen Weidong believes that since China’s electricity prices have generally followed the government pricing mechanism in the planned economy era, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, electricity prices will continue to be dominated by government pricing, although in some regions it will To develop and deepen pilot projects in the electricity market. Taking into account the economic macro-control factors, under the circumstances that the power marketization is difficult to achieve in the short term, the government will continue to strictly control the price of electricity as an important measure to control price increases, and prudently deal with the adjustment of electricity prices.
“So, considering the above factors, it is expected that the nationwide on-grid tariff and sales price will show an upward trend during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, but it will still be lower than the reasonable cost target that includes reasonable profits and taxes. It is estimated that the '12th Five-Year' average on-grid tariff It is possible to reach 0.44 yuan / kWh, the average sales price may reach 0.64 yuan / kWh." Zhang Weidong explained.
Finally, Zhang Weidong also told this reporter that although the country has set a target of 7% economic growth in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, this target is difficult to control in terms of the development speed of provinces and cities in the first half of the year. The rapid economic development will inevitably require a large amount of energy as a support. “So, I think that it will be more difficult for the state to implement energy total control.†Zhang Weidong finally said.
"As far as I know, the draft of the National Energy Administration's power development plan should have been completed, and the draft of the hydropower development plan has been drafted. It is expected that the National Energy Administration will launch the '12th Five Year Plan' for the power industry by the end of the year. Zhang Weidong further disclosed to the reporter of China Energy News.
It is understood that due to the rapid economic development of our country, the contradiction between the eased electricity and economic development has been particularly prominent this year. After the “electricity shortage†swept across many provinces at the beginning of the year, the province entered the summer peak season. There were still power restrictions in Hunan, Henan, Jiangxi, Sichuan and other regions. In Guangxi, the most serious power shortage situation in the country currently occurs, and the power gap has reached From 3.5 million to 4 million kilowatts, the electricity shortage rate is about 30%, and nearly 1,000 companies have stopped production. According to estimates by China Southern Power Grid, this situation of power shortage may continue until the end of the year.
“The prominent contradiction between coal and electricity, insufficient hydropower output, and lagging behind in cross-regional power grid construction are still the main causes of Guangxi's current power shortage.†Chen Weidong explained that “in 2011, the country’s total social power consumption will reach 4.7 trillion kWh, an increase of 12% year-on-year. At around %, due to the impact of previous investment structure adjustments, the country's annual new infrastructure construction capacity was approximately 85 million kilowatts, and the scale of thermal power production was smaller than expected. In 2011, the national electricity supply and demand situation will be the most intense year since 2007.
In looking at the "12th Five-Year Plan" development of electricity, Chen Weidong stated that the principles of active development of hydropower, priority in the development of coal-fired electricity, safe and efficient development of nuclear power, and active promotion of wind power peak new energy generation will not change, and on this basis, the state will also vigorously Promote UHV and smart grid construction.
"Because China's coal-based energy utilization pattern will persist for a long time, we must speed up the construction of large-scale coal-electricity integration bases in Shanxi, North Shaanxi, Ningdong, Inner Mongolia, Northeastern, Xinjiang, Huainan, and Guizhou, and we must speed up. Clean coal technology development, speed up the transformation of energy-saving emission reduction of existing units." When talking about the development of coal power Chen Weidong said, "in 2015 China's coal power installed capacity can reach 933 million kilowatts, in 2020 is expected to reach 1.16 billion kilowatts."
When talking about the electricity price trend, Chen Weidong believes that since China’s electricity prices have generally followed the government pricing mechanism in the planned economy era, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, electricity prices will continue to be dominated by government pricing, although in some regions it will To develop and deepen pilot projects in the electricity market. Taking into account the economic macro-control factors, under the circumstances that the power marketization is difficult to achieve in the short term, the government will continue to strictly control the price of electricity as an important measure to control price increases, and prudently deal with the adjustment of electricity prices.
“So, considering the above factors, it is expected that the nationwide on-grid tariff and sales price will show an upward trend during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, but it will still be lower than the reasonable cost target that includes reasonable profits and taxes. It is estimated that the '12th Five-Year' average on-grid tariff It is possible to reach 0.44 yuan / kWh, the average sales price may reach 0.64 yuan / kWh." Zhang Weidong explained.
Finally, Zhang Weidong also told this reporter that although the country has set a target of 7% economic growth in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, this target is difficult to control in terms of the development speed of provinces and cities in the first half of the year. The rapid economic development will inevitably require a large amount of energy as a support. “So, I think that it will be more difficult for the state to implement energy total control.†Zhang Weidong finally said.
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